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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Fri 8 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

De Vliert

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Den Bosch Win

53%

Den Bosch

1.89

25%

Draw

4.06

23%

Jong Ajax

4.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

Den Bosch xG

Total xG

2.63

0.99

Jong Ajax xG

53%
25%
23%
Den BoschDrawJong Ajax

1.89

53%

Home win

4.06

25%

Draw

4.44

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

37%

Den Bosch

2.68

19%

Jong Ajax

5.20

Win to Nil

20%

Den Bosch

5.08

4%

Jong Ajax

23.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 7.1 3.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 11.8 11.7 5.8 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.7 9.6 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.4 5.3 2.6 0.9 0.2
4 2.2 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.648
λ Away (xG) 0.986
Total xG 2.634
League avg home goals 1.790
League avg away goals 1.274
Den Bosch attack strength 0.912
Den Bosch defence strength 0.918
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.843
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.010
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38