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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Fri 21 Nov 2025

19:00

Venue

De Vliert

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Den Bosch Win

51%

Den Bosch

1.95

22%

Draw

4.48

26%

Almere City FC

3.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.90

Den Bosch xG

Total xG

3.22

1.32

Almere City FC xG

51%
22%
26%
Den BoschDrawAlmere City FC

1.95

51%

Home win

4.48

22%

Draw

3.78

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.65

Clean Sheet

27%

Den Bosch

3.73

15%

Almere City FC

6.71

Win to Nil

14%

Den Bosch

7.29

4%

Almere City FC

25.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 5.3 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 7.6 10.0 6.6 2.9 1.0 0.3
2 7.2 9.5 6.3 2.8 0.9 0.2
3 4.6 6.0 4.0 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 2.2 2.9 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.904
λ Away (xG) 1.316
Total xG 3.220
League avg home goals 1.721
League avg away goals 1.468
Den Bosch attack strength 1.107
Den Bosch defence strength 1.084
Almere City FC attack strength 0.827
Almere City FC defence strength 0.999
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 15