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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 8 Mar 2026

11:15

Venue

De Vijverberg

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

De Graafschap Win

52%

De Graafschap

1.92

24%

Draw

4.25

24%

Vitesse

4.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.91

De Graafschap xG

Total xG

3.16

1.26

Vitesse xG

52%
24%
24%
De GraafschapDrawVitesse

1.92

52%

Home win

4.25

24%

Draw

4.08

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.63

38%

BTTS No

2.60

Clean Sheet

28%

De Graafschap

3.51

15%

Vitesse

6.73

Win to Nil

15%

De Graafschap

6.76

4%

Vitesse

27.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 5.3 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 8.1 10.1 6.4 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.7 9.7 6.1 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.9 6.1 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.3 2.9 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.907
λ Away (xG) 1.257
Total xG 3.164
League avg home goals 1.636
League avg away goals 1.451
De Graafschap attack strength 1.117
De Graafschap defence strength 0.986
Vitesse attack strength 0.879
Vitesse defence strength 1.044
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67