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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Fri 2 May 2025

19:00

Venue

Stadion De Vijverberg

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

De Graafschap Win

57%

De Graafschap

1.74

24%

Draw

4.18

19%

Telstar

5.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.89

De Graafschap xG

Total xG

2.89

1.00

Telstar xG

57%
24%
19%
De GraafschapDrawTelstar

1.74

57%

Home win

4.18

24%

Draw

5.33

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

37%

De Graafschap

2.71

15%

Telstar

6.61

Win to Nil

21%

De Graafschap

4.73

3%

Telstar

35.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 5.6 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 10.5 10.5 5.2 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 9.9 5.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.3 6.2 3.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 3.0 2.9 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.888
λ Away (xG) 0.998
Total xG 2.886
League avg home goals 1.670
League avg away goals 1.241
De Graafschap attack strength 1.184
De Graafschap defence strength 0.721
Telstar attack strength 1.116
Telstar defence strength 0.955
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74