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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 22 Mar 2025

17:45

Venue

Stadion De Vijverberg

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

De Graafschap Win

79%

De Graafschap

1.26

13%

Draw

7.57

7%

MVV

13.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

10.5%

Home win

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.76

De Graafschap xG

Total xG

3.50

0.75

MVV xG

79%
13%
De GraafschapDrawMVV

1.26

79%

Home win

7.57

13%

Draw

13.37

7%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

47%

De Graafschap

2.11

6%

MVV

15.77

Win to Nil

38%

De Graafschap

2.66

0%

MVV

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 2.2 0.8 0.2
1 8.3 6.2 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 11.4 8.5 3.2 0.8 0.1
3 10.5 7.8 2.9 0.7 0.1
4 7.3 5.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
5 4.0 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.758
λ Away (xG) 0.746
Total xG 3.504
League avg home goals 1.654
League avg away goals 1.275
De Graafschap attack strength 1.409
De Graafschap defence strength 0.852
MVV attack strength 0.687
MVV defence strength 1.184
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68