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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Fri 21 Feb 2025

19:00

Venue

Stadion De Vijverberg

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

De Graafschap Win

61%

De Graafschap

1.64

20%

Draw

4.89

19%

Jong AZ

5.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.9%

Draw

2 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.19

De Graafschap xG

Total xG

3.34

1.15

Jong AZ xG

61%
20%
19%
De GraafschapDrawJong AZ

1.64

61%

Home win

4.89

20%

Draw

5.35

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.55

Clean Sheet

32%

De Graafschap

3.14

11%

Jong AZ

8.95

Win to Nil

19%

De Graafschap

5.16

2%

Jong AZ

47.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 4.1 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 7.8 8.9 5.1 1.9 0.6 0.1
2 8.5 9.8 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 6.2 7.1 4.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 3.4 3.9 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.1
5 1.5 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.192
λ Away (xG) 1.145
Total xG 3.337
League avg home goals 1.650
League avg away goals 1.246
De Graafschap attack strength 1.265
De Graafschap defence strength 0.879
Jong AZ attack strength 1.045
Jong AZ defence strength 1.051
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 63