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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

Stadion De Vijverberg

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

De Graafschap Win

73%

De Graafschap

1.37

18%

Draw

5.65

9%

Jong Ajax

10.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

3 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.32

De Graafschap xG

Total xG

3.03

0.72

Jong Ajax xG

73%
18%
De GraafschapDrawJong Ajax

1.37

73%

Home win

5.65

18%

Draw

10.65

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.15

53%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

49%

De Graafschap

2.05

10%

Jong Ajax

10.14

Win to Nil

36%

De Graafschap

2.81

1%

Jong Ajax

107.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 11.2 8.0 2.9 0.7 0.1
2 12.9 9.3 3.3 0.8 0.1
3 10.0 7.1 2.6 0.6 0.1
4 5.8 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 2.7 1.9 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.316
λ Away (xG) 0.716
Total xG 3.032
League avg home goals 1.669
League avg away goals 1.241
De Graafschap attack strength 1.202
De Graafschap defence strength 0.759
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.761
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.155
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72