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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 24 Jan 2025

19:00

Venue

Stadion De Vijverberg

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

De Graafschap Win

45%

De Graafschap

2.22

25%

Draw

4.04

30%

Emmen

3.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

7.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

De Graafschap xG

Total xG

3.17

1.41

Emmen xG

45%
25%
30%
De GraafschapDrawEmmen

2.22

45%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

3.31

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.73

Clean Sheet

24%

De Graafschap

4.10

17%

Emmen

5.82

Win to Nil

11%

De Graafschap

9.10

5%

Emmen

19.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 5.9 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 7.4 10.4 7.3 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 6.5 9.2 6.5 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 3.8 5.4 3.8 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.7 2.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.762
λ Away (xG) 1.412
Total xG 3.174
League avg home goals 1.575
League avg away goals 1.342
De Graafschap attack strength 1.344
De Graafschap defence strength 0.964
Emmen attack strength 1.091
Emmen defence strength 0.832
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59