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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Fri 7 Feb 2025

19:00

Venue

Stadion De Vijverberg

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

De Graafschap Win

59%

De Graafschap

1.70

22%

Draw

4.65

20%

Den Bosch

5.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.2%

Draw

2 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.12

De Graafschap xG

Total xG

3.29

1.17

Den Bosch xG

59%
22%
20%
De GraafschapDrawDen Bosch

1.70

59%

Home win

4.65

22%

Draw

5.08

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.57

Clean Sheet

31%

De Graafschap

3.21

12%

Den Bosch

8.36

Win to Nil

18%

De Graafschap

5.46

2%

Den Bosch

42.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 4.3 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 7.9 9.2 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 8.4 9.8 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.2
3 5.9 6.9 4.0 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 3.2 3.7 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 1.3 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.124
λ Away (xG) 1.166
Total xG 3.290
League avg home goals 1.644
League avg away goals 1.288
De Graafschap attack strength 1.347
De Graafschap defence strength 0.938
Den Bosch attack strength 0.965
Den Bosch defence strength 0.959
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62