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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Mon 29 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

De Vijverberg

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

De Graafschap Win

45%

De Graafschap

2.21

23%

Draw

4.34

32%

Almere City FC

3.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 2

7.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

De Graafschap xG

Total xG

3.23

1.46

Almere City FC xG

45%
23%
32%
De GraafschapDrawAlmere City FC

2.21

45%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

3.15

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.75

Clean Sheet

23%

De Graafschap

4.29

17%

Almere City FC

5.88

Win to Nil

11%

De Graafschap

9.49

5%

Almere City FC

18.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 5.8 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 7.0 10.2 7.4 3.6 1.3 0.4
2 6.2 9.1 6.6 3.2 1.2 0.3
3 3.7 5.4 3.9 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.6 2.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.772
λ Away (xG) 1.456
Total xG 3.228
League avg home goals 1.726
League avg away goals 1.385
De Graafschap attack strength 0.952
De Graafschap defence strength 1.097
Almere City FC attack strength 0.958
Almere City FC defence strength 1.078
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 7