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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Mon 3 Feb 2025

19:00

Venue

Stadion De Vijverberg

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

De Graafschap Win

60%

De Graafschap

1.66

21%

Draw

4.84

19%

ADO Den Haag

5.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.5%

Draw

2 – 0

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.25

De Graafschap xG

Total xG

3.48

1.22

ADO Den Haag xG

60%
21%
19%
De GraafschapDrawADO Den Haag

1.66

60%

Home win

4.84

21%

Draw

5.19

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.75

Clean Sheet

29%

De Graafschap

3.40

11%

ADO Den Haag

9.52

Win to Nil

18%

De Graafschap

5.66

2%

ADO Den Haag

49.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 3.8 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 7.0 8.5 5.2 2.1 0.7 0.2
2 7.8 9.6 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 5.9 7.2 4.4 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 3.3 4.1 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.5 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.253
λ Away (xG) 1.224
Total xG 3.477
League avg home goals 1.647
League avg away goals 1.295
De Graafschap attack strength 1.433
De Graafschap defence strength 0.873
ADO Den Haag attack strength 1.083
ADO Den Haag defence strength 0.955
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61