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Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Fri 26 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Kooi Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cambuur Win

40%

Cambuur

2.51

23%

Draw

4.28

37%

Jong PSV U21

2.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

1 – 2

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.64

Cambuur xG

Total xG

3.21

1.57

Jong PSV U21 xG

40%
23%
37%
CambuurDrawJong PSV U21

2.51

40%

Home win

4.28

23%

Draw

2.71

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.77

Clean Sheet

21%

Cambuur

4.81

19%

Jong PSV U21

5.16

Win to Nil

8%

Cambuur

12.09

7%

Jong PSV U21

14.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 6.3 5.0 2.6 1.0 0.3
1 6.6 10.4 8.2 4.3 1.7 0.5
2 5.4 8.5 6.7 3.5 1.4 0.4
3 3.0 4.7 3.7 1.9 0.8 0.2
4 1.2 1.9 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.641
λ Away (xG) 1.571
Total xG 3.212
League avg home goals 1.719
League avg away goals 1.331
Cambuur attack strength 1.025
Cambuur defence strength 0.902
Jong PSV U21 attack strength 1.309
Jong PSV U21 defence strength 0.931
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45