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Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Fri 17 Jan 2025

19:00

Venue

Kooi Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Excelsior Win

29%

Cambuur

3.44

31%

Draw

3.21

40%

Excelsior

2.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.1%

Away win

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Cambuur xG

Total xG

2.24

1.23

Excelsior xG

29%
31%
40%
CambuurDrawExcelsior

3.44

29%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

2.52

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

29%

Cambuur

3.40

36%

Excelsior

2.75

Win to Nil

9%

Cambuur

11.70

14%

Excelsior

6.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7 13.1 8.0 3.3 1.0 0.2
1 10.8 13.2 8.1 3.3 1.0 0.2
2 5.5 6.7 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 1.8 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.012
λ Away (xG) 1.225
Total xG 2.237
League avg home goals 1.545
League avg away goals 1.399
Cambuur attack strength 0.776
Cambuur defence strength 0.959
Excelsior attack strength 0.913
Excelsior defence strength 0.844
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 21