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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Tue 17 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Yanmar Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Almere City FC Win

40%

Almere City FC

2.47

24%

Draw

4.12

35%

Waalwijk

2.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Almere City FC xG

Total xG

3.00

1.44

Waalwijk xG

40%
24%
35%
Almere City FCDrawWaalwijk

2.47

40%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

2.83

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.52

Clean Sheet

24%

Almere City FC

4.22

21%

Waalwijk

4.75

Win to Nil

10%

Almere City FC

10.45

7%

Waalwijk

13.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 7.2 5.2 2.5 0.9 0.3
1 7.8 11.2 8.1 3.9 1.4 0.4
2 6.0 8.7 6.3 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 3.1 4.5 3.3 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 1.2 1.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.558
λ Away (xG) 1.441
Total xG 2.999
League avg home goals 1.565
League avg away goals 1.445
Almere City FC attack strength 1.059
Almere City FC defence strength 0.894
Waalwijk attack strength 1.116
Waalwijk defence strength 0.940
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 31 / 31