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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Fri 10 Oct 2025

19:15

Venue

Yanmar Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Almere City FC Win

58%

Almere City FC

1.74

19%

Draw

5.35

24%

Vitesse

4.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

6.9%

Home win

1 – 1

6.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.51

Almere City FC xG

Total xG

4.10

1.59

Vitesse xG

58%
19%
24%
Almere City FCDrawVitesse

1.74

58%

Home win

5.35

19%

Draw

4.22

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

92%

Over 1.5

1.09

8%

Under 1.5

12.50

78%

Over 2.5

1.28

22%

Under 2.5

4.55

59%

Over 3.5

1.69

41%

Under 3.5

2.44

39%

Over 4.5

2.56

61%

Under 4.5

1.64

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

73%

BTTS Yes

1.37

27%

BTTS No

3.73

Clean Sheet

20%

Almere City FC

4.92

8%

Vitesse

12.27

Win to Nil

12%

Almere City FC

8.55

2%

Vitesse

51.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.7 2.6 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
1 4.2 6.6 5.3 2.8 1.1 0.4
2 5.2 8.3 6.6 3.5 1.4 0.4
3 4.3 6.9 5.5 2.9 1.2 0.4
4 2.7 4.3 3.5 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 1.4 2.2 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.507
λ Away (xG) 1.594
Total xG 4.101
League avg home goals 1.726
League avg away goals 1.403
Almere City FC attack strength 1.214
Almere City FC defence strength 1.083
Vitesse attack strength 1.049
Vitesse defence strength 1.196
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 9 / 45