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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Fri 30 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

Yanmar Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Almere City FC Win

50%

Almere City FC

1.99

23%

Draw

4.37

27%

Roda

3.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

2 – 2

6.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.04

Almere City FC xG

Total xG

3.49

1.46

Roda xG

50%
23%
27%
Almere City FCDrawRoda

1.99

50%

Home win

4.37

23%

Draw

3.73

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.48

33%

BTTS No

3.07

Clean Sheet

23%

Almere City FC

4.29

13%

Roda

7.67

Win to Nil

12%

Almere City FC

8.53

3%

Roda

28.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 4.4 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.2
1 6.2 9.0 6.6 3.2 1.2 0.3
2 6.3 9.2 6.7 3.2 1.2 0.3
3 4.3 6.2 4.5 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 2.2 3.2 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.037
λ Away (xG) 1.457
Total xG 3.494
League avg home goals 1.773
League avg away goals 1.565
Almere City FC attack strength 1.238
Almere City FC defence strength 0.900
Roda attack strength 1.034
Roda defence strength 0.928
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 23 / 62