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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Fri 7 Nov 2025

19:00

Venue

Yanmar Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Almere City FC Win

53%

Almere City FC

1.88

22%

Draw

4.60

25%

MVV

3.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

7.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.99

Almere City FC xG

Total xG

3.30

1.31

MVV xG

53%
22%
25%
Almere City FCDrawMVV

1.88

53%

Home win

4.60

22%

Draw

3.98

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.71

Clean Sheet

27%

Almere City FC

3.72

14%

MVV

7.31

Win to Nil

14%

Almere City FC

7.00

3%

MVV

29.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 4.8 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 7.3 9.6 6.3 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 7.3 9.6 6.3 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 4.8 6.3 4.2 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 2.4 3.2 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.989
λ Away (xG) 1.313
Total xG 3.302
League avg home goals 1.738
League avg away goals 1.429
Almere City FC attack strength 1.034
Almere City FC defence strength 1.147
MVV attack strength 0.801
MVV defence strength 1.107
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 14 / 52