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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Fri 26 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Yanmar Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Almere City FC Win

62%

Almere City FC

1.62

19%

Draw

5.23

19%

Jong Utrecht

5.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.1%

Draw

2 – 0

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.33

Almere City FC xG

Total xG

3.57

1.24

Jong Utrecht xG

62%
19%
19%
Almere City FCDrawJong Utrecht

1.62

62%

Home win

5.23

19%

Draw

5.20

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.79

Clean Sheet

29%

Almere City FC

3.46

10%

Jong Utrecht

10.26

Win to Nil

18%

Almere City FC

5.61

2%

Jong Utrecht

53.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 3.5 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 6.6 8.1 5.1 2.1 0.6 0.2
2 7.6 9.5 5.9 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 5.9 7.4 4.6 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 3.4 4.3 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.6 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.328
λ Away (xG) 1.241
Total xG 3.569
League avg home goals 1.719
League avg away goals 1.331
Almere City FC attack strength 1.132
Almere City FC defence strength 1.207
Jong Utrecht attack strength 0.772
Jong Utrecht defence strength 1.197
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 6 / 45