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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Fri 12 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Yanmar Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong PSV U21 Win

24%

Almere City FC

4.15

26%

Draw

3.85

50%

Jong PSV U21

2.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

0 – 2

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.96

Almere City FC xG

Total xG

2.47

1.51

Jong PSV U21 xG

24%
26%
50%
Almere City FCDrawJong PSV U21

4.15

24%

Home win

3.85

26%

Draw

2.00

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

22%

Almere City FC

4.51

38%

Jong PSV U21

2.61

Win to Nil

5%

Almere City FC

18.74

19%

Jong PSV U21

5.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 12.8 9.6 4.8 1.8 0.5
1 8.1 12.3 9.2 4.6 1.8 0.5
2 3.9 5.9 4.4 2.2 0.8 0.3
3 1.3 1.9 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.961
λ Away (xG) 1.507
Total xG 2.468
League avg home goals 1.655
League avg away goals 1.221
Almere City FC attack strength 0.642
Almere City FC defence strength 1.102
Jong PSV U21 attack strength 1.120
Jong PSV U21 defence strength 0.904
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 3 / 42