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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Fri 5 Dec 2025

19:00

Venue

Yanmar Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Almere City FC Win

66%

Almere City FC

1.51

18%

Draw

5.60

16%

Jong Ajax

6.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

7.9%

Home win

3 – 1

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.50

Almere City FC xG

Total xG

3.68

1.17

Jong Ajax xG

66%
18%
16%
Almere City FCDrawJong Ajax

1.51

66%

Home win

5.60

18%

Draw

6.28

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

50%

Over 3.5

2.00

50%

Under 3.5

2.00

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.74

Clean Sheet

31%

Almere City FC

3.23

8%

Jong Ajax

12.23

Win to Nil

20%

Almere City FC

4.88

1%

Jong Ajax

76.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5 3.0 1.7 0.7 0.2
1 6.3 7.4 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
2 7.9 9.3 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 6.6 7.8 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 4.1 4.9 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 2.1 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.504
λ Away (xG) 1.173
Total xG 3.677
League avg home goals 1.705
League avg away goals 1.434
Almere City FC attack strength 1.189
Almere City FC defence strength 0.938
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.872
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.235
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 18 / 56