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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Fri 17 Apr 2026

19:00

Venue

Yanmar Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Almere City FC Win

46%

Almere City FC

2.19

24%

Draw

4.13

30%

Dordrecht

3.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.64

Almere City FC xG

Total xG

2.93

1.29

Dordrecht xG

46%
24%
30%
Almere City FCDrawDordrecht

2.19

46%

Home win

4.13

24%

Draw

3.31

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

27%

Almere City FC

3.64

19%

Dordrecht

5.16

Win to Nil

13%

Almere City FC

7.98

6%

Dordrecht

17.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 6.9 4.4 1.9 0.6 0.2
1 8.7 11.3 7.3 3.1 1.0 0.3
2 7.2 9.3 6.0 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 3.9 5.1 3.3 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 2.1 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.641
λ Away (xG) 1.292
Total xG 2.933
League avg home goals 1.599
League avg away goals 1.483
Almere City FC attack strength 1.067
Almere City FC defence strength 1.022
Dordrecht attack strength 0.852
Dordrecht defence strength 0.961
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 74