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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Round of 16

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

13:00

Venue

Yanmar Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Almere City FC Win

53%

Almere City FC

1.87

20%

Draw

5.05

27%

Den Bosch

3.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.3%

Draw

2 – 2

6.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.32

Almere City FC xG

Total xG

3.94

1.62

Den Bosch xG

53%
20%
27%
Almere City FCDrawDen Bosch

1.87

53%

Home win

5.05

20%

Draw

3.73

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

75%

Over 2.5

1.33

25%

Under 2.5

4.00

55%

Over 3.5

1.82

45%

Under 3.5

2.22

36%

Over 4.5

2.78

64%

Under 4.5

1.56

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

72%

BTTS Yes

1.38

28%

BTTS No

3.62

Clean Sheet

20%

Almere City FC

5.07

10%

Den Bosch

10.15

Win to Nil

11%

Almere City FC

9.51

3%

Den Bosch

37.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.9 3.2 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2
1 4.5 7.3 5.9 3.2 1.3 0.4
2 5.2 8.5 6.9 3.7 1.5 0.5
3 4.0 6.5 5.3 2.9 1.2 0.4
4 2.3 3.8 3.1 1.7 0.7 0.2
5 1.1 1.8 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.317
λ Away (xG) 1.624
Total xG 3.941
League avg home goals 1.644
League avg away goals 1.422
Almere City FC attack strength 1.157
Almere City FC defence strength 1.031
Den Bosch attack strength 1.108
Den Bosch defence strength 1.219
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 76