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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 18 Jan 2026

13:30

Venue

Yanmar Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Almere City FC Win

43%

Almere City FC

2.31

20%

Draw

4.91

36%

De Graafschap

2.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

7.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 2

7.3%

Draw

1 – 1

6.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.16

Almere City FC xG

Total xG

4.14

1.98

De Graafschap xG

43%
20%
36%
Almere City FCDrawDe Graafschap

2.31

43%

Home win

4.91

20%

Draw

2.75

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

92%

Over 1.5

1.09

8%

Under 1.5

12.50

78%

Over 2.5

1.28

22%

Under 2.5

4.55

59%

Over 3.5

1.69

41%

Under 3.5

2.44

40%

Over 4.5

2.50

60%

Under 4.5

1.67

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

76%

BTTS Yes

1.31

24%

BTTS No

4.23

Clean Sheet

14%

Almere City FC

7.26

12%

De Graafschap

8.69

Win to Nil

6%

Almere City FC

16.78

4%

De Graafschap

23.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.6 3.1 3.1 2.1 1.0 0.4
1 3.4 6.8 6.7 4.4 2.2 0.9
2 3.7 7.3 7.3 4.8 2.4 0.9
3 2.7 5.3 5.2 3.5 1.7 0.7
4 1.4 2.9 2.8 1.9 0.9 0.4
5 0.6 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.162
λ Away (xG) 1.982
Total xG 4.144
League avg home goals 1.731
League avg away goals 1.544
Almere City FC attack strength 1.273
Almere City FC defence strength 1.026
De Graafschap attack strength 1.251
De Graafschap defence strength 0.981
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 21 / 59