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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 10 Aug 2025

15:45

Venue

WerkTalent Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

ADO Den Haag Win

60%

ADO Den Haag

1.66

20%

Draw

4.92

19%

Willem II

5.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.2%

Draw

2 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.14

ADO Den Haag xG

Total xG

3.28

1.14

Willem II xG

60%
20%
19%
ADO Den HaagDrawWillem II

1.66

60%

Home win

4.92

20%

Draw

5.14

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.50

Clean Sheet

32%

ADO Den Haag

3.12

12%

Willem II

8.48

Win to Nil

19%

ADO Den Haag

5.18

2%

Willem II

43.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 4.3 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 8.1 9.2 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
2 8.6 9.8 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 6.2 7.0 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 3.3 3.7 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.138
λ Away (xG) 1.138
Total xG 3.276
League avg home goals 1.806
League avg away goals 1.225
ADO Den Haag attack strength 1.030
ADO Den Haag defence strength 1.093
Willem II attack strength 0.850
Willem II defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 0