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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Mon 26 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

WerkTalent Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

ADO Den Haag Win

57%

ADO Den Haag

1.76

21%

Draw

4.72

22%

Vitesse

4.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.9%

Draw

2 – 0

7.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.15

ADO Den Haag xG

Total xG

3.44

1.28

Vitesse xG

57%
21%
22%
ADO Den HaagDrawVitesse

1.76

57%

Home win

4.72

21%

Draw

4.57

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.55

36%

BTTS No

2.80

Clean Sheet

28%

ADO Den Haag

3.61

12%

Vitesse

8.63

Win to Nil

16%

ADO Den Haag

6.35

3%

Vitesse

39.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 4.1 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1
1 6.9 8.9 5.7 2.4 0.8 0.2
2 7.4 9.6 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 5.3 6.9 4.4 1.9 0.6 0.2
4 2.9 3.7 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.2 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.155
λ Away (xG) 1.285
Total xG 3.440
League avg home goals 1.760
League avg away goals 1.568
ADO Den Haag attack strength 1.178
ADO Den Haag defence strength 0.874
Vitesse attack strength 0.938
Vitesse defence strength 1.040
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60