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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Fri 13 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

WerkTalent Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

ADO Den Haag Win

61%

ADO Den Haag

1.63

22%

Draw

4.61

17%

MVV

5.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.6%

Draw

2 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.26

ADO Den Haag xG

Total xG

3.40

1.14

MVV xG

61%
22%
17%
ADO Den HaagDrawMVV

1.63

61%

Home win

4.61

22%

Draw

5.90

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.64

Clean Sheet

32%

ADO Den Haag

3.13

10%

MVV

9.56

Win to Nil

20%

ADO Den Haag

5.10

2%

MVV

56.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3 3.8 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.1
1 7.5 8.6 4.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 8.5 9.7 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 6.4 7.3 4.2 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 3.6 4.1 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.6 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.258
λ Away (xG) 1.141
Total xG 3.399
League avg home goals 1.768
League avg away goals 1.490
ADO Den Haag attack strength 1.008
ADO Den Haag defence strength 0.965
MVV attack strength 0.793
MVV defence strength 1.268
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 64