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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Fri 19 Dec 2025

19:00

Venue

WerkTalent Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

ADO Den Haag Win

78%

ADO Den Haag

1.28

12%

Draw

8.31

10%

Jong PSV U21

10.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

3 – 1

7.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

6.9%

Home win

4 – 1

6.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

3.41

ADO Den Haag xG

Total xG

4.67

1.26

Jong PSV U21 xG

78%
12%
ADO Den HaagDrawJong PSV U21

1.28

78%

Home win

8.31

12%

Draw

10.02

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

95%

Over 1.5

1.05

5%

Under 1.5

20.00

84%

Over 2.5

1.19

16%

Under 2.5

6.25

69%

Over 3.5

1.45

31%

Under 3.5

3.23

50%

Over 4.5

2.00

50%

Under 4.5

2.00

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.44

31%

BTTS No

3.25

Clean Sheet

28%

ADO Den Haag

3.51

3%

Jong PSV U21

30.33

Win to Nil

22%

ADO Den Haag

4.51

0%

Jong PSV U21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.9 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
1 3.2 4.0 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
2 5.5 6.9 4.3 1.8 0.6 0.1
3 6.2 7.8 4.9 2.1 0.6 0.2
4 5.3 6.7 4.2 1.8 0.6 0.1
5 3.6 4.5 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 3.412
λ Away (xG) 1.257
Total xG 4.669
League avg home goals 1.723
League avg away goals 1.512
ADO Den Haag attack strength 1.451
ADO Den Haag defence strength 0.782
Jong PSV U21 attack strength 1.064
Jong PSV U21 defence strength 1.364
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 58