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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Fri 30 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

WerkTalent Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

ADO Den Haag Win

48%

ADO Den Haag

2.07

23%

Draw

4.34

29%

Jong AZ

3.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

1 – 2

6.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.00

ADO Den Haag xG

Total xG

3.52

1.52

Jong AZ xG

48%
23%
29%
ADO Den HaagDrawJong AZ

2.07

48%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

3.49

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.47

32%

BTTS No

3.15

Clean Sheet

22%

ADO Den Haag

4.56

14%

Jong AZ

7.40

Win to Nil

11%

ADO Den Haag

9.45

4%

Jong AZ

25.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 4.5 3.4 1.7 0.7 0.2
1 5.9 9.0 6.8 3.5 1.3 0.4
2 5.9 9.0 6.8 3.5 1.3 0.4
3 4.0 6.0 4.6 2.3 0.9 0.3
4 2.0 3.0 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.001
λ Away (xG) 1.518
Total xG 3.519
League avg home goals 1.773
League avg away goals 1.565
ADO Den Haag attack strength 1.050
ADO Den Haag defence strength 0.795
Jong AZ attack strength 1.220
Jong AZ defence strength 1.075
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 62