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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Tue 11 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

Bingoal Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

ADO Den Haag Win

58%

ADO Den Haag

1.73

22%

Draw

4.53

20%

Jong AZ

4.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.97

ADO Den Haag xG

Total xG

3.05

1.08

Jong AZ xG

58%
22%
20%
ADO Den HaagDrawJong AZ

1.73

58%

Home win

4.53

22%

Draw

4.93

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

34%

ADO Den Haag

2.95

14%

Jong AZ

7.13

Win to Nil

20%

ADO Den Haag

5.12

3%

Jong AZ

35.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 5.1 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 9.3 10.1 5.5 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.2 9.9 5.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 6.0 6.5 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 2.9 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.2
5 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.965
λ Away (xG) 1.083
Total xG 3.048
League avg home goals 1.663
League avg away goals 1.280
ADO Den Haag attack strength 1.000
ADO Den Haag defence strength 0.815
Jong AZ attack strength 1.038
Jong AZ defence strength 1.181
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 66