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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Fri 17 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

WerkTalent Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

ADO Den Haag Win

59%

ADO Den Haag

1.71

20%

Draw

4.96

21%

Dordrecht

4.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.8%

Draw

2 – 0

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.19

ADO Den Haag xG

Total xG

3.45

1.26

Dordrecht xG

59%
20%
21%
ADO Den HaagDrawDordrecht

1.71

59%

Home win

4.96

20%

Draw

4.71

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.74

Clean Sheet

28%

ADO Den Haag

3.52

11%

Dordrecht

8.94

Win to Nil

17%

ADO Den Haag

6.01

2%

Dordrecht

42.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 4.0 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 7.0 8.8 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
2 7.6 9.6 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 5.6 7.0 4.4 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 3.0 3.8 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.3 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.190
λ Away (xG) 1.258
Total xG 3.448
League avg home goals 1.759
League avg away goals 1.403
ADO Den Haag attack strength 1.365
ADO Den Haag defence strength 0.863
Dordrecht attack strength 1.039
Dordrecht defence strength 0.912
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 48