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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Tue 25 Nov 2025

19:00

Venue

WerkTalent Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

ADO Den Haag Win

59%

ADO Den Haag

1.70

21%

Draw

4.87

21%

De Graafschap

4.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.2%

Draw

2 – 0

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.13

ADO Den Haag xG

Total xG

3.33

1.20

De Graafschap xG

59%
21%
21%
ADO Den HaagDrawDe Graafschap

1.70

59%

Home win

4.87

21%

Draw

4.82

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.63

39%

BTTS No

2.59

Clean Sheet

30%

ADO Den Haag

3.30

12%

De Graafschap

8.41

Win to Nil

18%

ADO Den Haag

5.62

2%

De Graafschap

40.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 4.3 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 7.7 9.2 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
2 8.2 9.8 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 5.8 6.9 4.1 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 3.1 3.7 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.3 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.130
λ Away (xG) 1.195
Total xG 3.325
League avg home goals 1.723
League avg away goals 1.468
ADO Den Haag attack strength 1.459
ADO Den Haag defence strength 0.714
De Graafschap attack strength 1.141
De Graafschap defence strength 0.848
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53