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Low Scoring Predictions

Fixtures ranked by lowest predicted expected total goals — Tuesday 22 October 2024

Our prediction model identifies fixtures where both teams have historically weak attack or strong defence. Fixtures at the top of this list have the lowest combined expected goals (xG) — making them the best candidates for Under 2.5 goals and low-scoring correct score markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Wigan
1 : 2 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
#2 League Two · England
Fleetwood Town
0 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 28%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#3 Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Paranaense
✓ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 Championship · England
Preston
2 : 2 FT
Norwich
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#5 League One · England
Stevenage
0 : 2 FT
Cambridge United
Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 68% Stevenage Clean Sheet 58%
#6 League Two · England
Doncaster
0 : 1 FT
Bromley
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#7 League Two · England
Tranmere
0 : 1 FT
Grimsby
Win 35%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Championship · England
Oxford United
1 : 1 FT
Derby
Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
#9 Championship · England
QPR
1 : 1 FT
Coventry
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
PAU
1 : 1 FT
Bastia
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#11 Championship · England
Sheffield Wednesday
0 : 0 FT
Swansea
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 League One · England
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 FT
Rotherham
✓ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#13 League Two · England
Barrow
1 : 1 FT
Notts County
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 13 fixtures by lowest combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.