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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Comunale

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

34%

Virtus Entella

2.92

37%

Draw

2.74

29%

Mantova

3.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

0 – 1

11.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Virtus Entella xG

Total xG

2.27

1.08

Mantova xG

34%
37%
29%
Virtus EntellaDrawMantova

2.92

34%

Home win

2.74

37%

Draw

3.43

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

34%

Virtus Entella

2.95

31%

Mantova

3.27

Win to Nil

12%

Virtus Entella

8.60

9%

Mantova

11.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 11.2 6.1 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 12.3 13.3 7.2 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 7.3 7.9 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.9 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.185
λ Away (xG) 1.082
Total xG 2.267
League avg home goals 1.218
League avg away goals 1.046
Virtus Entella attack strength 0.867
Virtus Entella defence strength 1.133
Mantova attack strength 0.913
Mantova defence strength 1.122
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 2 / 40