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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Tue 30 Sep 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadio Comunale

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Virtus Entella Win

45%

Virtus Entella

2.22

36%

Draw

2.80

19%

Bari

5.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Virtus Entella xG

Total xG

2.16

0.82

Bari xG

45%
36%
19%
Virtus EntellaDrawBari

2.22

45%

Home win

2.80

36%

Draw

5.22

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

44%

Virtus Entella

2.27

26%

Bari

3.81

Win to Nil

20%

Virtus Entella

5.04

5%

Bari

19.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.5 9.5 3.9 1.1 0.2
1 15.4 12.7 5.2 1.4 0.3
2 10.3 8.5 3.5 1.0 0.2
3 4.6 3.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.338
λ Away (xG) 0.821
Total xG 2.159
League avg home goals 1.308
League avg away goals 1.156
Virtus Entella attack strength 0.824
Virtus Entella defence strength 0.956
Bari attack strength 0.743
Bari defence strength 1.241
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 5 / 43