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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Tue 17 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Venezia Win

63%

Venezia

1.58

23%

Draw

4.39

14%

Padova

7.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.9%

Home win

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.96

Venezia xG

Total xG

2.78

0.82

Padova xG

63%
23%
14%
VeneziaDrawPadova

1.58

63%

Home win

4.39

23%

Draw

7.11

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

44%

Venezia

2.28

14%

Padova

7.11

Win to Nil

28%

Venezia

3.61

2%

Padova

50.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 5.1 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 12.1 10.0 4.1 1.1 0.2
2 11.9 9.8 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 7.8 6.4 2.6 0.7 0.1
4 3.8 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.961
λ Away (xG) 0.823
Total xG 2.784
League avg home goals 1.327
League avg away goals 1.126
Venezia attack strength 1.337
Venezia defence strength 0.887
Padova attack strength 0.823
Padova defence strength 1.105
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30