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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 24 Aug 2025

18:00

Venue

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bari Win

33%

Venezia

3.02

30%

Draw

3.29

36%

Bari

2.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.5%

Away win

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Venezia xG

Total xG

2.36

1.22

Bari xG

33%
30%
36%
VeneziaDrawBari

3.02

33%

Home win

3.29

30%

Draw

2.74

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

30%

Venezia

3.37

32%

Bari

3.15

Win to Nil

10%

Venezia

10.18

12%

Bari

8.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 11.5 7.0 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 10.8 13.1 8.0 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.2 7.5 4.6 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.4 2.9 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.146
λ Away (xG) 1.215
Total xG 2.361
League avg home goals 1.343
League avg away goals 1.129
Venezia attack strength 0.850
Venezia defence strength 1.150
Bari attack strength 0.936
Bari defence strength 1.004
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 38