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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Tue 3 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Venezia Win

59%

Venezia

1.71

24%

Draw

4.08

17%

Avellino

5.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.83

Venezia xG

Total xG

2.72

0.89

Avellino xG

59%
24%
17%
VeneziaDrawAvellino

1.71

59%

Home win

4.08

24%

Draw

5.92

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.98

50%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

41%

Venezia

2.43

16%

Avellino

6.23

Win to Nil

24%

Venezia

4.15

3%

Avellino

36.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 5.9 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 12.1 10.7 4.8 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.0 9.8 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 6.7 6.0 2.7 0.8 0.2
4 3.1 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.830
λ Away (xG) 0.889
Total xG 2.719
League avg home goals 1.252
League avg away goals 1.110
Venezia attack strength 1.260
Venezia defence strength 1.044
Avellino attack strength 0.767
Avellino defence strength 1.161
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 27