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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Marco Druso

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sudtirol Win

55%

Sudtirol

1.83

25%

Draw

4.01

21%

Cosenza

4.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Sudtirol xG

Total xG

2.87

1.05

Cosenza xG

55%
25%
21%
SudtirolDrawCosenza

1.83

55%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

4.87

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.80

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

35%

Sudtirol

2.85

16%

Cosenza

6.18

Win to Nil

19%

Sudtirol

5.22

3%

Cosenza

30.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 5.9 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 10.4 10.8 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.9 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.7 6.0 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.6 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.822
λ Away (xG) 1.046
Total xG 2.868
League avg home goals 1.292
League avg away goals 1.156
Sudtirol attack strength 1.012
Sudtirol defence strength 1.068
Cosenza attack strength 0.848
Cosenza defence strength 1.393
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73