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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Wed 11 Feb 2026

18:00

Venue

Stadio Marco Druso

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sudtirol Win

42%

Sudtirol

2.40

29%

Draw

3.48

30%

Monza

3.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Sudtirol xG

Total xG

2.31

1.03

Monza xG

42%
29%
30%
SudtirolDrawMonza

2.40

42%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

3.38

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

36%

Sudtirol

2.80

28%

Monza

3.59

Win to Nil

15%

Sudtirol

6.70

8%

Monza

12.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0 10.3 5.3 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 12.7 13.1 6.7 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.1 8.4 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.5 3.6 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.277
λ Away (xG) 1.029
Total xG 2.306
League avg home goals 1.298
League avg away goals 1.060
Sudtirol attack strength 1.025
Sudtirol defence strength 0.928
Monza attack strength 1.047
Monza defence strength 0.959
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 23