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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Marco Druso

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

31%

Sudtirol

3.26

35%

Draw

2.84

34%

Modena

2.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

14.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

14.4%

Away win

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.94

Sudtirol xG

Total xG

1.94

1.00

Modena xG

31%
35%
34%
SudtirolDrawModena

3.26

31%

Home win

2.84

35%

Draw

2.93

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.47

60%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

37%

Sudtirol

2.72

39%

Modena

2.56

Win to Nil

11%

Sudtirol

8.87

13%

Modena

7.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.4 14.4 7.2 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 13.5 13.5 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 6.3 6.3 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.939
λ Away (xG) 1.002
Total xG 1.941
League avg home goals 1.392
League avg away goals 1.099
Sudtirol attack strength 0.740
Sudtirol defence strength 0.930
Modena attack strength 0.981
Modena defence strength 0.912
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 70