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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Marco Druso

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sudtirol Win

35%

Sudtirol

2.87

35%

Draw

2.88

30%

Mantova

3.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

0 – 0

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Sudtirol xG

Total xG

2.04

0.98

Mantova xG

35%
35%
30%
SudtirolDrawMantova

2.87

35%

Home win

2.88

35%

Draw

3.29

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

38%

Sudtirol

2.66

35%

Mantova

2.90

Win to Nil

13%

Sudtirol

7.62

10%

Mantova

9.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.0 12.7 6.2 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 13.8 13.5 6.6 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 7.4 7.2 3.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 2.6 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.064
λ Away (xG) 0.977
Total xG 2.041
League avg home goals 1.394
League avg away goals 1.100
Sudtirol attack strength 0.762
Sudtirol defence strength 0.927
Mantova attack strength 0.959
Mantova defence strength 1.003
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73