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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 14 Dec 2024

14:00

Venue

Stadio Marco Druso

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sudtirol Win

35%

Sudtirol

2.88

31%

Draw

3.22

34%

Mantova

2.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Sudtirol xG

Total xG

2.57

1.28

Mantova xG

35%
31%
34%
SudtirolDrawMantova

2.88

35%

Home win

3.22

31%

Draw

2.92

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

28%

Sudtirol

3.59

28%

Mantova

3.63

Win to Nil

10%

Sudtirol

10.35

9%

Mantova

10.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 9.8 6.3 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 9.9 12.6 8.1 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.4 8.1 5.2 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.7 3.5 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.289
λ Away (xG) 1.279
Total xG 2.568
League avg home goals 1.267
League avg away goals 1.102
Sudtirol attack strength 0.842
Sudtirol defence strength 1.412
Mantova attack strength 0.822
Mantova defence strength 1.208
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 16