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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Marco Druso

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sudtirol Win

70%

Sudtirol

1.43

22%

Draw

4.65

9%

Empoli

11.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.38

Sudtirol xG

Total xG

3.20

0.81

Empoli xG

70%
22%
SudtirolDrawEmpoli

1.43

70%

Home win

4.65

22%

Draw

11.74

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

44%

Sudtirol

2.25

9%

Empoli

10.86

Win to Nil

31%

Sudtirol

3.22

1%

Empoli

127.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 9.8 7.9 3.2 0.9 0.2
2 11.6 9.4 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 9.3 7.5 3.0 0.8 0.2
4 5.5 4.5 1.8 0.5 0.1
5 2.6 2.1 0.9 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.385
λ Away (xG) 0.811
Total xG 3.196
League avg home goals 1.304
League avg away goals 1.117
Sudtirol attack strength 1.179
Sudtirol defence strength 1.040
Empoli attack strength 0.698
Empoli defence strength 1.552
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 6