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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

14:00

Venue

Stadio Marco Druso

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sudtirol Win

44%

Sudtirol

2.30

27%

Draw

3.76

30%

Cittadella

3.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

Sudtirol xG

Total xG

3.08

1.38

Cittadella xG

44%
27%
30%
SudtirolDrawCittadella

2.30

44%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

3.35

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.68

Clean Sheet

25%

Sudtirol

3.99

18%

Cittadella

5.47

Win to Nil

11%

Sudtirol

9.16

5%

Cittadella

18.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 6.3 4.4 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 7.8 10.8 7.5 3.4 1.2 0.3
2 6.6 9.2 6.3 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 3.7 5.2 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.6 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.699
λ Away (xG) 1.383
Total xG 3.082
League avg home goals 1.241
League avg away goals 1.054
Sudtirol attack strength 0.901
Sudtirol defence strength 1.485
Cittadella attack strength 0.884
Cittadella defence strength 1.518
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56