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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Marco Druso

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sudtirol Win

49%

Sudtirol

2.03

29%

Draw

3.49

22%

Carrarese

4.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Sudtirol xG

Total xG

2.63

1.02

Carrarese xG

49%
29%
22%
SudtirolDrawCarrarese

2.03

49%

Home win

3.49

29%

Draw

4.51

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

36%

Sudtirol

2.78

20%

Carrarese

5.00

Win to Nil

18%

Sudtirol

5.65

4%

Carrarese

22.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 7.4 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 11.6 11.8 6.0 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.5 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 5.0 5.1 2.6 0.9 0.2
4 2.0 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.610
λ Away (xG) 1.022
Total xG 2.632
League avg home goals 1.208
League avg away goals 1.089
Sudtirol attack strength 1.023
Sudtirol defence strength 1.162
Carrarese attack strength 0.808
Carrarese defence strength 1.303
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 29