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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 13 Dec 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Marco Druso

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sudtirol Win

49%

Sudtirol

2.05

29%

Draw

3.42

22%

Bari

4.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

2 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Sudtirol xG

Total xG

2.33

0.89

Bari xG

49%
29%
22%
SudtirolDrawBari

2.05

49%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

4.57

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

41%

Sudtirol

2.43

24%

Bari

4.25

Win to Nil

20%

Sudtirol

4.97

5%

Bari

19.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 8.6 3.8 1.1 0.3
1 14.0 12.4 5.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.1 9.0 4.0 1.2 0.3
3 4.9 4.3 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 1.8 1.6 0.7 0.2
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.446
λ Away (xG) 0.888
Total xG 2.334
League avg home goals 1.328
League avg away goals 1.057
Sudtirol attack strength 0.800
Sudtirol defence strength 1.082
Bari attack strength 0.777
Bari defence strength 1.362
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53