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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Tue 13 May 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadio Marco Druso

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sudtirol Win

48%

Sudtirol

2.09

27%

Draw

3.64

25%

Bari

4.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Sudtirol xG

Total xG

2.64

1.07

Bari xG

48%
27%
25%
SudtirolDrawBari

2.09

48%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

4.05

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

34%

Sudtirol

2.91

21%

Bari

4.80

Win to Nil

16%

Sudtirol

6.08

5%

Bari

19.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 7.6 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 11.2 12.0 6.4 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.4 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.6 4.9 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.8 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.569
λ Away (xG) 1.068
Total xG 2.637
League avg home goals 1.309
League avg away goals 1.160
Sudtirol attack strength 1.030
Sudtirol defence strength 1.062
Bari attack strength 0.867
Bari defence strength 1.164
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75