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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 10 Oct 2026

13:00

Venue

Stadio Marco Druso

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Sudtirol Win

48%

Sudtirol

2.07

29%

Draw

3.45

23%

Ascoli

4.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Sudtirol xG

Total xG

2.41

0.94

Ascoli xG

48%
29%
23%
SudtirolDrawAscoli

2.07

48%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

4.39

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

39%

Sudtirol

2.56

23%

Ascoli

4.36

Win to Nil

19%

Sudtirol

5.30

5%

Ascoli

19.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 8.4 4.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 13.2 12.4 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.7 9.1 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.8 4.5 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.8 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.472
λ Away (xG) 0.939
Total xG 2.411
League avg home goals 1.543
League avg away goals 1.071
Sudtirol attack strength 0.829
Sudtirol defence strength 1.032
Ascoli attack strength 0.850
Ascoli defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 0