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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Fri 1 May 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Alberto Picco

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Venezia Win

26%

Spezia

3.91

29%

Draw

3.48

46%

Venezia

2.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Spezia xG

Total xG

2.84

1.65

Venezia xG

26%
29%
46%
SpeziaDrawVenezia

3.91

26%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

2.19

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.71

41%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

19%

Spezia

5.20

30%

Venezia

3.31

Win to Nil

5%

Spezia

20.34

14%

Venezia

7.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 9.6 7.9 4.3 1.8 0.6
1 7.0 11.5 9.5 5.2 2.1 0.7
2 4.2 6.9 5.7 3.1 1.3 0.4
3 1.7 2.7 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.196
λ Away (xG) 1.648
Total xG 2.844
League avg home goals 1.377
League avg away goals 1.084
Spezia attack strength 1.080
Spezia defence strength 1.157
Venezia attack strength 1.314
Venezia defence strength 0.804
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 36