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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sat 18 Apr 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Alberto Picco

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sudtirol Win

25%

Spezia

3.95

32%

Draw

3.16

43%

Sudtirol

2.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.1%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

9.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.98

Spezia xG

Total xG

2.33

1.35

Sudtirol xG

25%
32%
43%
SpeziaDrawSudtirol

3.95

25%

Home win

3.16

32%

Draw

2.33

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.06

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

26%

Spezia

3.85

37%

Sudtirol

2.68

Win to Nil

7%

Spezia

15.19

16%

Sudtirol

6.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 13.1 8.8 4.0 1.3 0.4
1 9.6 12.9 8.7 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 4.7 6.3 4.3 1.9 0.6 0.2
3 1.5 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.985
λ Away (xG) 1.347
Total xG 2.332
League avg home goals 1.380
League avg away goals 1.093
Spezia attack strength 0.774
Spezia defence strength 1.194
Sudtirol attack strength 1.032
Sudtirol defence strength 0.923
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72